Has NIL Already Widened the Gap Between FBS & FCS Programs?

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DyedBlue

DyedBlue

The Captain Level
After looking at the Week 0 & 1 results of FBS & FCS games, it does appear that in a short two seasons the presence of big NIL money at FBS programs is having the effect of widening the gap between top FCS programs and average FBS teams.

I guess this should be predictable. Give an 18 year old a chance to be a walk on at a Power 4 school versus being a scholarship player at an FCS school and he is likely to take it. I read a year ago that every player on the LSU roster gets $100K. Who knows what our Big 10 schools are doing for walkons but there is a good chance it is more valuable than a full ride at ISU and probably every other FCS school. You get the big game day environment and a chance at a big payday at those schools.

And coming soon to a roster near you is an expanded scholarship count which will ensnare the best FCS recruits I expect. The days of the top 10 FCS programs being competitive with FBS programs at 50 and worse are probably drawing to and end.
 

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Taken from CSNBBS board.

Post: #1
Week 0+1 by conference
With one OOC game remaining (LSU-USC) these are the results for each conference.

Con...vs P5...vs G5...vs FCS

B1G......1-1......9-0.......6-0
SEC......2-2......5-0.......6-0
ACC......3-3......4-0.......7-0
B12.......1-1......2-1.....11-0
PAC.......0-0......0-0.......2-0

P5.........7-7.....20-1.....32-0

AAC.......0-2......2-2......8-0
MWC......1-6..... 2-0......5-1
MAC.......0-5......1-0......5-0
USA.......0-3......1-1......4-0
SBC.......0-3......1-3......6-0
IND........0-1......0-1......0-0

G5.......1-20.....7-7.....28-1
 
DyedBlue said:
After looking at the Week 0 & 1 results of FBS & FCS games, it does appear that in a short two seasons the presence of big NIL money at FBS programs is having the effect of widening the gap between top FCS programs and average FBS teams.

I guess this should be predictable. Give an 18 year old a chance to be a walk on at a Power 4 school versus being a scholarship player at an FCS school and he is likely to take it. I read a year ago that every player on the LSU roster gets $100K. Who knows what our Big 10 schools are doing for walkons but there is a good chance it is more valuable than a full ride at ISU and probably every other FCS school. You get the big game day environment and a chance at a big payday at those schools.

And coming soon to a roster near you is an expanded scholarship count which will ensnare the best FCS recruits I expect. The days of the top 10 FCS programs being competitive with FBS programs at 50 and worse are probably drawing to and end.
Click to expand...

Spot on.

There are two classes of kids that would have sought other opportunities that are now staying put. The two deep backups that could likely start elsewhere in FBS will start sticking longer because they're getting paid to do so. Additionally, kids not even on the depth charts that would opt for FCS to get PT will also now be totally content just being there.

The compounding effect is as that first class would transfer to FBS peers, the same classes there would all take steps down. Then that trickles into that second class, too, which means by the time you get to FCS, the talent has precipitously dropped off. What you'll likely see at the FCS level is the handful of programs that do decide they want to fully go pay-for-play will then become the dominant programs alongside those programs that have rock solid systems and stability.
 

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I never thought I would be saying this, remember the West Era, we now have the Mallory era, nice guy, but not a good head coach, or do we get rid of football totally, and throw that money into the basketball program. we just can't win.
by the way looking at all the scores from the Power 5 conferences, really no upsets, favorites won and won big. Example Old Miss, racked up 500 yards in one half over Furman, they had over 50 points in the first half. For the 2nd half another 250+ yards, over 750 for the game, are we playing Flag football ?
Little boys like us, the gap is wider and bigger.
Finally just use this NIL money and give it to our mens basketball program, and Eliminate Indiana State Football.
 
rsperge said:
I never thought I would be saying this, remember the West Era, we now have the Mallory era, nice guy, but not a good head coach, or do we get rid of football totally, and throw that money into the basketball program. we just can't win.
by the way looking at all the scores from the Power 5 conferences, really no upsets, favorites won and won big. Example Old Miss, racked up 500 yards in one half over Furman, they had over 50 points in the first half. For the 2nd half another 250+ yards, over 750 for the game, are we playing Flag football ?
Little boys like us, the gap is wider and bigger.
Finally just use this NIL money and give it to our mens basketball program, and Eliminate Indiana State Football.
Click to expand...
Boy are you late to the party.
 
rsperge said:
I never thought I would be saying this, remember the West Era, we now have the Mallory era, nice guy, but not a good head coach, or do we get rid of football totally, and throw that money into the basketball program. we just can't win.
by the way looking at all the scores from the Power 5 conferences, really no upsets, favorites won and won big. Example Old Miss, racked up 500 yards in one half over Furman, they had over 50 points in the first half. For the 2nd half another 250+ yards, over 750 for the game, are we playing Flag football ?
Little boys like us, the gap is wider and bigger.
Finally just use this NIL money and give it to our mens basketball program, and Eliminate Indiana State Football.
Click to expand...
ISU and Furman are not competing with Ole Miss or any of the FBS in football. FCS schools simply play FBS schools for money. The schools ISU and Furman are competing with are the Dakota States and Montana schools in football on a national scale.

I'm way more concerned about the growing gap in basketball where you're having to overhaul half the roster every year than I am in football. ISU and Furman in this case actually are competing against the P4's on a national scale and they are buying our players to make a tournament that we are also trying to make.

Compare the two and the gap between ISU and SDSU in football is a lot smaller than the gap between ISU and UCONN in basketball. In football we play in a conference that gets 25% of the bids in the playoffs, while in basketball we play in a conference where you can win 28 games and not make it at all.
 
I shall come back to this in a month or so when the power rankings have more data. We can take a look at how the top 10 FCS schools are rated versus the FBS pool. Most years, the top FCS team is somewhere around 40-45 in the complete power rankings.
 

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