StatSheet Projects Indiana State as NCAA Tournament Bubble Team: 02/07/2013

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Jason Svoboda

Jason Svoboda

The Bird Level
Administrator
StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.
StatSheet is now projecting Indiana State as a bubble team for the NCAA Tournament, but on the outside looking in. The Sycamores are sitting at #45 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 15-8 overall record and an 8-4 record in the Missouri Valley.
Over the last four games, Indiana State got quality wins against AP #16 Creighton and RPI #38 Wichita State and a win against Northern Iowa but also stumbled with a bad loss to RPI #132 Drake.
Indiana State is average against top competition, with a 6-4 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 4-4 record against the RPI Top 50 and a 2-2 record against AP ranked teams. While the Sycamores have four quality wins including AP #16 Creighton, RPI #38 Wichita State, AP #8 Miami (FL), and RPI #44 Ole Miss, they're weighed down by four bad losses including RPI #132 Drake, RPI #147 Illinois State, RPI #195 Southern Illinois, and RPI #161 Morehead State.
The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Florida State (13-9, 5-4 ACC, StatRank #58), St. John's (15-8, 7-4 Big East, StatRank #56), California (13-8, 5-4 Pac 12, StatRank #68), and Arizona State (17-5, 6-3 Pac 12, StatRank #62).
The first four teams out are Maryland (16-6, 4-5 ACC, StatRank #69), Saint Louis (17-5, 6-2 A-10, StatRank #48), Stanford (14-9, 5-5 Pac 12, StatRank #68), and Villanova (14-9, 5-5 Big East, StatRank #73).
The next four out are Indiana State (15-8, 8-4 Missouri Valley, StatRank #39), Charlotte (17-5, 5-3 A-10, StatRank #54), Rutgers (12-9, 3-7 Big East, StatRank #67), and Virginia Commonwealth (18-5, 6-2 A-10, StatRank #50).[TABLE="class: tablepad"]
[TR]
[TD]Regional 1
#1Duke
#2Arizona
#3Gonzaga
#4Cincinnati
#5Butler
#6Marquette
#7Colorado State
#8Belmont
#9Illinois
#10Kentucky
#11Baylor
#12Arizona State
#13Bucknell
#14Akron
#15FGCU
#16Davidson
#17UNCA
[/TD]
[TD]Regional 2
#1Florida
#2Kansas
#3Louisville
#4Kansas State
#5Georgetown
#6Missouri
#7Creighton
#8Colorado
#9Ole Miss
#10La Salle
#11Brigham Young
#12Louisiana Tech
#13California
#14SDSU
#15Harvard
#16Long Beach State
#17SOU
[/TD]
[TD]Regional 3
#1Indiana
#2Miami (FL)
#3Michigan State
#4Minnesota
#5New Mexico
#6Notre Dame
#7NC State
#8Iowa State
#9UNLV
#10San Diego State
#11MTSU
#12Memphis
#13Florida State
#14Stephen F. Austin
#15Montana
#16Niagara
#17Bryant
[/TD]
[TD]Regional 4
#1Michigan
#2Syracuse
#3Ohio State
#4Oregon
#5Oklahoma State
#6Pittsburgh
#7Oklahoma
#8North Carolina
#9Wisconsin
#10UCLA
#11Wichita State
#12Southern Miss
#13St. John's
#14Valparaiso
#15Stony Brook
#16Northeastern
#17NCCU
[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

[h=2]NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference[/h]
ConfNCAA
Teams		Conf
Teams		Pct in
NCAA
Big East

[TD="align: center"]8
[TABLE="class: charttable"]
[TR]
[TD]
Big Ten
Pac 12
Big 12
ACC
SEC
Mountain West
C-USA
A-10
Missouri Valley
West Coast
MAC
Patriot
Atlantic Sun
Ivy League
SoCon
Big West
WAC
Ohio Valley
Sun Belt
Big Sky
MAAC
Big South
CAA
Summit League
SWAC
Southland
America East
Horizon
NEC
MEAC

[TD="align: center"]16[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]50.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]7[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]58.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]6[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]50.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]6[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]60.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]5[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]41.7%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]4[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]33.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]4[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]50.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]16.7%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]14[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]14.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]20.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]9[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]22.2%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12.5%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12.5%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]9[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11.1%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12.5%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]11[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9.1%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]9[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11.1%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]11[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9.1%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]9[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11.1%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]13[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.7%[/TD]
[/TD]
[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]


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