StatSheet Projects Indiana State as NIT Seven Seed: 02/28/2013

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Jason Svoboda

The Bird Level
Administrator
StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.
StatSheet projects Indiana State to go to the NIT as a seven seed. The Sycamores are sitting at #69 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 17-12 overall record and a 9-8 record in the Missouri Valley.
Over the last four games, Indiana State grabbed a win against Iona but also took on a loss against RPI #30 Wichita State and bad losses to RPI #147 Drake and RPI #166 Bradley.
Indiana State is below average against top competition, with a 6-5 record against the RPI Top 100 but a 3-5 record against the RPI Top 50 and a 1-1 record against AP ranked teams. While the Sycamores have three quality wins including RPI #45 Creighton, RPI #30 Wichita State, and AP #5 Miami (FL), they're weighed down by seven bad losses including RPI #147 Drake (2 losses), RPI #166 Bradley, RPI #205 Missouri State, RPI #115 Illinois State, and RPI #182 Southern Illinois.
The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Alabama (19-9, 11-4 SEC, StatRank #62), Temple (19-8, 8-5 A-10, StatRank #41), La Salle (19-7, 9-4 A-10, StatRank #40), and Baylor (17-11, 8-7 Big 12, StatRank #59).
The first four teams out are Boise State (19-8, 7-6 Mountain West, StatRank #52), Saint Mary's (25-5, 13-2 West Coast, StatRank #48), UCLA (21-7, 11-4 Pac-12, StatRank #45), and Virginia (19-8, 9-5 ACC, StatRank #62).
The next four out are California (18-9, 10-5 Pac-12, StatRank #45), Maryland (19-9, 7-8 ACC, StatRank #74), Providence (15-12, 7-8 Big East, StatRank #75), and Wichita State (24-6, 12-5 Missouri Valley, StatRank #43).[TABLE="class: tablepad"]
[TR]
[TD]Regional 1
[/TD]
[TD]Regional 2
[/TD]
[TD]Regional 3
[/TD]
[TD]Regional 4
[/TD]
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[h=2]NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference[/h]
ConfNCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East

[TD="align: center"]9
[TABLE="class: charttable"]
[TR]
[TD]
Big Ten
SEC
Big 12
A-10
Mountain West
ACC
Pac-12
Conference USA
MAC
Missouri Valley
SoCon
Patriot
West Coast
Ivy League
Big South
Big West
WAC
Ohio Valley
Atlantic Sun
Sun Belt
Big Sky
MAAC
MEAC
CAA
NEC
Summit League
Southland
America East
SWAC
Horizon

[TD="align: center"]16[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]56.2%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]7[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]58.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]6[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]50.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]6[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]60.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]5[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]14[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]35.7%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]4[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]50.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]4[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]33.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]3[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]25.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]16.7%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12.5%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]9[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11.1%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12.5%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]11[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9.1%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]9[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11.1%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12.5%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]11[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9.1%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]9[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11.1%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]13[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.7%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]9[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11.1%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.0%[/TD]
[/TD]
[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]


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Does a #7 NIT seed get a home game..........bet we could draw almost 1000 for one. Maybe could play it at Rose-Hulman so it would feel like full house?
 
They'll be in one of the dances. Right now it doesn't matter much which dance they get in (NCAA, NIT, CBI, CIT) as long as they learn from the success and adversity they have experienced this year. With no seniors on the roster, they need to learn from their good play and their bad play and move forward. This roller-coaster season has been trying for the team and for their fans. We all got caught up in projections of being an at-large team in the NCAA tourney, but the only way in that dance is to win Arch Madness. They're not exactly going into it on a high note. We'll see what they're made of now. They either close ranks and create something magical, or they fold like a lawn chair.
 
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