Consistency Breeds Success: Charting the Sycamores

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Jason Svoboda

Jason Svoboda

The Bird Level
Administrator
There are 347 Division I teams. The media scoring average is 67.8 ppg and coincidentally enough, that is where we sit -- tied for 173rd in the country. In Valley play, we're averaging 68.1 ppg, 4th behind Creighton, Wichita State and Evansville. To get into the 75th percentile, your team would need to average 72 points per game. If you want to be in the Top 50 in the country in scoring, you would need to average 74 points per game.

Keeping this simple, you would need to score 36 buckets a game to make that happen -- the 72 point per game mark. To hit that mark, you would need to score a bucket every 66.7 seconds. I've charted our first 8 Missouri Valley Conference games to show time between scores so we can see what happened between scores, how long droughts lasted, etc. Keep in mind, these times show the difference in time between ANY score, whether it is a 3 point field goal or a single free throw because the opportunity was still present for 2 points.

Just for the sake of making this wealth of info quickly scannable, anything that is bolded in ORANGE are droughts that took longer than 1:07 to score our next point. Anything that is bolded in RED are droughts that took longer than 2x (2:14) to score. Finally, anything 3 minutes or longer is bolded in BLUE to signify an extended cold streaks.

vs ILLINOIS STATE

FIRST HALF

20:00-19:26 (0:34) Justin Gant made 3 point jumper
19:26-17:04 (2:22) 3 missed shots, 2 turnovers - Dawon Cummings made jumper, free throw
17:04-16:19 (0:45) 1 missted shot - Justin Gant made layup
16:19-14:26 (1:53) 3 missed shots, 1 missed free throw - Devonte Brown made free throw
14:26-13:40 (0:46) Devonte Brown 2 made free throws
13:40-12:35 (1:05) 1 turnover - Manny Arop made layup, free throw
12:35-12:10 (0:25) Manny Arop made jumper
12:10-11:48 (0:22) Justin Gant made layup
11:48-10:42 (1:06) 1 turnover - Justin Gant made layup
10:42-10:21 (0:21) Justin Gant made layup
10:21-08:56 (1:25) 3 missed shots - Jake Odum layup
08:56-06:10 (2:46) 2 missed shots, 2 turnovers - Lucas Eitel made 3 point jumper
06:10-03:36 (2:34) 4 missed shots - Justin Gant made tip shot
03:36-03:18 (0:18) RJ Mahruin 2 made free throws
03:18-02:34 (0:44) Jake Odum made 3 point jumper
02:34-00:30 (2:04) 3 missed shots, 1 missed free throw - Jake Odum 2 made free throws
00:30-00:00 (0:30)

SECOND HALF

20:00-18:36 (1:24) 1 missed shot, 1 turnover - Jake Odum made layup
18:36-17:21 (1:15) 1 turnover - RJ Mahurin 2 made free throws
17:21-16:42 (0:40) 1 missed shot - Justin Gant made layup
16:42-15:56 (0:48) 1 turnover - Jake Kitchell made layup
15:56-15:29 (0:27) Devonte Brown made layup
15:29-14:59 (0:30) 1 missed free throw - Devonte Brown made free throw
14:59-13:39 (1:20) 1 missed shot - Devonte Brown made layup
13:39-12:33 (1:06) 1 missed shot - Justin Gant made layup
12:33-11:57 (0:36) RJ Mahurin made layup
11:57-10:40 (1:17) 1 missed shot, 1 missed free throw - Devonte Brown made free throw
10:40-09:54 (0:46) 1 missed free throw, 1 turnover - Manny Arop made layup
09:54-08:49 (1:05) 3 missed shots - Jake Kitchell made layup
08:49-08:18 (0:31) 1 turnover - Jake Odum 2 made free throws
08:18-07:28 (0:50) 3 missed shots - Manny Arop made jumper
07:28-06:41 (0:47) Khristian Smith made jumper
06:41-05:20 (1:21) 2 missed shots - RJ Mahurin made layup
05:20-05:11 (0:09) Jake Odum 2 made free throws
05:11-04:15 (0:56) 1 turnover - Jake Odum made 3 point jumper
04:15-03:41 (0:34) Devonte Brown made layup
03:41-01:58 (1:43) 1 missed shot, 1 missed free throw - Devonte Brown made free throw
01:58-01:43 (0:15) 2 missed free throws - Jake Odum made free throw
01:43-00:30 (1:13) 1 missed shot, 1 missed free throw - Manny Arop made free throw
00:30-00:07 (0:23) Justin Gant made free throw
00:07-00:00 (0:07) 1 missed free throw

vs NORTHERN IOWA

FIRST HALF

20:00-18:49 (1:11) 1 missed shot - RJ Mahurin made jumper, free throw
18:49-16:25 (2:24) 3 missed shots - Justin Gant made 3 point jumper
16:25-15:47 (0:38) Justin Gant made layup
15:47-14:56 (0:51) 1 missed free throw, 2 turnovers - Devonte Brown made free throw
14:56-14:25 (0:31) Jake Odum made jumper, free throw
14:25-13:49 (0:36) Jake Kitchell made layup
13:49-12:21 (1:28) 2 turnovers - Lucas Eitel made 3 point jumper
12:21-09:49 (2:32) 1 missed shot, 2 turnovers - Many Arop made jumper
09:49-09:07 (0:42) Manny Arop made jumper
09:07-07:09 (1:58) 2 missed shots, 2 turnovers - Manny Arop made jumper
07:09-05:21 (1:48) 2 missed shots - Jake Odum made layup
05:21-04:21 (1:00) 1 missed shot - Justin Gant made layup, free throw
04:23-03:43 (0:40) Dawon Cummings made layup
03:43-02:42 (1:01) 1 missed shot - Jake Kitchell 2 made free throws
02:42-00:57 (1:45) 2 missed shots - Jake Kitchell made layup, free throw
00:57-00:48 (0:09) Khristian Smith 2 made free throws
00:48-00:00 (0:48)

SECOND HALF

20:00-19:41 (0:19) Justin Gant made jumper
19:41-18:25 (1:16) 1 turnover - Justin Gant made jumper
18:25-17:27 (0:58) 1 missed free throw - Jake Odum made free throw
17:27-16:51 (0:36) 1 missed shot - Justin Gant made layup
16:51-13:32 (3:19) 2 missed shots, 2 turnovers - Justin Gant made layup
13:32-12:59 (0:33) 1 missed shot, 1 missed free throw - Jake Kitchell made free throw
12:59-11:28 (1:31) 1 missed shot, 1 missed free throw - Dawon Cummings made free throw
11:28-09:28 (2:00) 1 missed shot - Jake Odum made 3 point jumper
09:28-06:43 (2:45) 3 missed shots, 1 turnover - Justin Gant made jumper
06:43-05:36 (1:07) RJ Mahurin made free throw
05:36-05:12 (0:24) 1 missed shot, 1 missed free throw - Manny Arop made free throw
05:12-02:23 (2:49) 2 missed shots, 1 missed free throw, 2 turnovers - Jake Odum 2 made free throws
02:23-01:32 (0:51) Jake Odum 2 made free throws
01:32-00:45 (0:47) Manny Arop made jumper
00:45-00:34 (0:11) Jake Odum made free throw
00:34-00:22 (0:12) 1 missed free throw - Jake Odum made free throw
00:22-00:11 (0:10) 2 missed free throws - Jake Odum made free throw
00:11-00:03 (0:08) 1 missed free throw - Lucas Eitel made free throw
00:03-00:00 (0:03)

vs CREIGHTON

FIRST HALF

20:00-16:39 (3:21) 1 missed shot, 3 turnovers - Justin Gant made 3 point jumper
16:39-16:01 (0:38) Dawon Cummings made layup
16:01-14:14 (1:47) 2 missed shots - Jake Odum 2 made free throws
14:14-12:48 (1:26) 2 missed shots - RJ Mahurin made tip shot
12:48-11:46 (1:02) 2 missed shots - Devonte Brown made 3 point jumper
11:46-11:12 (0:34) Devonte Brown made layup
11:12-09:41 (1:31) 2 missed shots - Jake Kitchell 2 made free throws
09:41-07:39 (2:02) 1 missed shot, 1 turnover - Manny Arop made layup
07:39-06:06 (1:33) 1 missed shot, 1 turnover - Manny Arop made jumper
06:06-05:30 (0:36) Jake Odum made jumper
05:30-05:15 (0:15) 1 missed shot - Devonte Brown 2 made free throws
05:15-03:21 (1:54) 1 turnover - Dawon Cummings made three point jumper
03:21-00:00 (3:21) 7 missed shots, 1 turnover

SECOND HALF

20:00-19:38 (0:22) Justin Gant made jumper
19:38-18:56 (0:42) Manny Arop made 3 point jumper
18:56-18:21 (0:35) Jake Odum made 3 point jumper
18:21-17:48 (0:33) Manny Arop 2 made free throws
17:48-17:19 (0:29) Justin Gant made layup
17:19-16:42 (0:37) RJ Mahurin made free throw
16:42-14:51 (1:51) 1 missed shot, 1 missed free throw, 1 turnover - Devonte Brown made layup
14:51-14:10 (0:41) RJ Mahurin made layup
14:10-12:59 (1:11) 2 missed free throws - Khristian Smith made layup
12:59-12:18 (0:41) Manny Arop made 3 point jumper
12:18-10:54 (1:24) Jake Odum made jumper
10:54-08:32 (2:22) 2 missed shots, 1 turnover - Jake Odum made free throw
08:32-06:38 (1:54) 3 missed shots, 2 missed free throws - Jake Kitchell made free throw
06:38-04:43 (1:55) 2 missed free throws, 1 turnover - Justin Gant made jumper
04:43-03:54 (0:49) Justin Gant made 3 point jumper
03:54-03:24 (0:30) Jake Odum made layup, free throw
03:24-01:43 (1:41) 1 missed shot - Manny Arop made free throw
01:43-00:49 (0:54) 1 missed shot, 2 missed free throws - RJ Mahurin 2 made free throws
00:49-00:34 (0:15) 1 missed shot - Lucas Eitel made jumper
00:34-00:00 (0:34)

vs BRADLEY

FIRST HALF

20:00-19:40 (0:20) 1 missed shot - Manny Arop made layup
19:40-18:46 (0:54) Jake Odum made layup
18:46-17:02 (1:44) 2 missed shots, 1 turnover - Justin Gant made 3 point jumper
17:02-16:14 (0:48) Jake Gant made jumper
16:14-14:22 (1:52) 2 missed shots - Khristian Smith 2 made free throws
14:22-12:48 (1:34) 1 missed shot, 1 turnover - Khristian Smith made jumper
12:48-11:44 (1:04) Khristian Smith made jumper
11:44-10:36 (1:08) 1 missed shot - RJ Mahurin made layup
10:36-09:24 (1:12) 1 missed shot - Manny Arop made layup
09:24-08:59 (0:25) Dawon Cummings made free throw
08:59-06:05 (2:54) 3 missed shots, 1 missed free throw - RJ Mahurin made layup
06:05-04:34 (1:31) 2 turnovers - Justin Gant 2 made free throws
04:34-03:45 (0:59) Khristian Smith made jumper
03:45-01:04 (2:41) 1 missed shot, 2 turnovers - Jake Odum made jumper
01:04-00:00 (1:04) 1 turnover

SECOND HALF

20:00-19:30 (0:30) Manny Arop made jumper
19:30-18:18 (0:42) 1 missed shot - RJ Mahurin made jumper
18:18-17:32 (0:46) Manny Arop made free throw
17:32-16:29 (1:03) 1 missed free throw, 1 turnover - Justin Gant made layup
16:29-15:43 (0:46) 1 turnover - Jake Odum made layup
15:43-15:08 (0:35) Devonte Brown 2 made free throws
15:08-14:34 (0:34) 1 missed shot - Jake Kitchell made tip shot
14:34-12:31 (2:03) 2 missed shots, 1 turnover - Jake Kitchell made layup
12:31-11:48 (0:43) Jake Kitckell made layup
11:48-09:40 (2:08) 2 missed shots, 1 turnover - Devonte Brown made free throw
09:40-09:05 (0:35) 1 missed free throw - RJ Mahurin 2 made free throws
09:05-07:31 (1:34) 1 missed shot, 1 turnover - Jake Kitchell made layup
07:31-06:32 (0:59) 1 turnover - Manny Arop made jumper
06:32-05:02 (1:30) 1 missed shot - Jake Odum made 3 point jumper
05:02-03:49 (1:13) 1 turnover - Justin Gant 2 made free throws
03:49-02:51 (0:58) Manny Arop 2 made free throws
02:51-02:14 (0:37) 1 missed shot - Justin Gant made layup
02:14-01:52 (0:22) 1 missed free throw - Dawon Cummings made free throw
01:52-01:26 (0:26) Jake Odum 2 made free throws
01:26-01:15 (0:11) Manny Arop 2 made free throws
01:15-00:29 (0:46) 1 missed shot - Brandon Burnett 2 made free throws
00:29-00:00 (0:29)

vs SOUTHERN ILLINOIS

FIRST HALF

20:00-18:57 (1:03) 1 missed shot - Justin Gant made jumper
18:57-14:06 (4:51) 5 missed shots, 6 turnovers - Manny Arop made dunk
14:06-13:05 (1:01) 1 turnover - Justin Gant made jumper
13:05-11:59 (1:06) 1 missed shot - Justin Gant 2 made free throws
11:59-10:42 (1:17) 1 turnover - Justin Gant made dunk
10:42-10:05 (0:37) Manny Arop made jumper
10:05-06:44 (3:21) 3 missed shots, 2 missed free throws, 1 turnover - Khristian Smith made jumper, free throw
06:44-06:08 (0:36) Jake Odum made jumper, free throw
06:08-05:37 (0:31) Jake Odum made jumper
05:37-04:10 (1:27) 3 missed shots - Khristian Smith made jumper, free throw
04:10-02:08 (2:02) 1 missed shot, 1 turnover - RJ Mahurin made layup
02:08-01:26 (0:42) 1 missed shot - Manny Arop made layup
01:26-00:00 (1:26) 1 missed shot, 1 turnover

SECOND HALF

20:00-17:24 (2:36) 2 missed shots, 2 turnovers - Justin Gant made free throw
17:24-16:55 (0:29) 1 missed free throw - Lucas Eitel made 3 point jumper
16:55-15:06 (1:49) 1 missed shot, 1 turnover - RJ Mahurin made layup
15:06-13:19 (1:47) 3 missed shots, 1 turnover - Jake Odum 2 made free throws
13:19-12:49 (0:30) RJ Mahurin made jumper
12:49-12:07 (0:42) Manny Arop made jumper
12:07-11:31 (0:36) Manny Arop made jumper
11:31-08:49 (2:42) 3 missed shots, 1 turnover - Manny Arop 2 made free throws
08:49-08:26 (0:23) Lucas Eitel made 3 point jumper
08:26-07:36 (0:50) Jake Odum made jumper
07:36-05:44 (1:52) 2 turnovers - Lucas Eitel made 3 point jumper
05:44-04:37 (1:07) 1 turnover - Jake Odum made layup
04:37-04:26 (0:11) Justin Gant made free throw
04:26-03:14 (1:12) 1 missed shot, 1 missed free throw - Devonte Brown made free throw
03:14-02:43 (0:31) 1 missed shot, 1 missed free throw - Jake Odum 2 made free throws
02:43-02:08 (0:35) RJ Mahurin made jumper
02:08-01:30 (0:38) 1 missed free throw - Manny Arop made free throw
01:30-00:59 (0:31) 1 missed shot, 2 missed free throws - Jake Odum 2 made free throws
00:59-00:23 (0:36) 2 missed shots - Lucas Eitel made 3 point jumper
00:23-00:04 (0:19) 1 missed shot - Manny Arop made 3 point jumper
00:04-00:00 (0:04)

vs MISSOURI STATE

FIRST HALF

20:00-16:29 (3:30) 2 missed shots, 2 turnovers - Devonte Brown made layup
16:29-15:36 (0:56) 1 missed shot - Justin Gant made jumper
15:36-14:01 (1:37) 2 missed shots - Khristian Smith made jumper
14:01-12:51 (1:10) Justin Gant made jumper
12:51-12:09 (0:42) Jake Kitchell made layup
12:09-11:23 (0:46) Khristian Smith made jumper
11:23-09:52 (1:31) 1 missed shot - Jake Odum made free throw
09:52-09:19 (0:33) 1 missed free throw - Manny Arop made free throw
09:19-08:37 (0:42) 1 missed free throw - RJ Mahurin 2 made free throws
08:37-05:02 (3:35) 3 missed shots, 1 turnover - Jake Kitchell made layup
05:02-03:30 (1:32) 2 turnovers - RJ Mahurin made layup
03:30-03:00 (0:30) 1 missed shot - Lucas Eitel made 3 point jumper
03:00-01:41 (1:19) 1 turnover - Khristian Smith made jumper
01:41-00:42 (0:59) Justin Gant made jumper
00:42-00:00 (0:42)

SECOND HALF

20:00-19:35 (0:25) Justin Gant made layup
19:35-18:52 (0:43) RJ Mahurin made 3 point jumper
18:52-18:02 (0:50) Jake Odum 2 made free throws
18:02-16:29 (1:33) 2 missed shots - Dawon Cummings made 3 point jumper
16:29-15:56 (0:33) Jake Odum made layup
15:56-15:20 (0:36) Manny Arop made jumper
15:20-14:08 (1:12) Manny Arop made 3 point jumper
14:08-12:50 (1:18) 1 turnover - Manny Arop made jumper
12:50-11:32 (1:18) 1 missed shot - Dawon Cummings made layup
11:32-10:19 (1:13) 2 missed free thows - Dawon Cummings made layup
10:19-06:36 (3:43) 1 turnover, 3 missed shots - Manny Arop made layup
06:36-05:59 (0:37) Devonte Brown made layup
05:59-05:02 (0:57) Justin Gant made layup
05:02-04:20 (0:42) Devonte Brown made jumper
04:20-03:38 (0:42) Devonte Brown 2 made free throws
03:38-01:56 (1:42) 2 missed shots - Devonte Brown 2 made free throws
01:56-01:39 (0:17) Dawon Cummings made free throw
01:39-01:24 (0:15) 2 missed free throws - Jake Odum made free throw
01:24-01:03 (0:21) 1 missed free throw - Jake Odum made free throw
01:03-00:51 (0:12) 1 missed free throw - Jake Odum made free throw
00:51-00:11 (0:40) 2 missed free throws, 1 turnover - Dawon Cummings 2 made free throws
00:11-00:00 (0:11)

vs. EVANSVILLE

FIRST HALF

20:00-19:02 (0:58) 1 missed shot - Devonte Brown 2 made free throws
19:02-16:37 (2:25) 2 missed shots, 1 turnover - Manny Arop made jumper
16:37-16:09 (0:28) Manny Arop made jumper
16:09-13:59 (2:10) 2 missed shots - Jake Kitchell made layup
13:59-13:11 (0:48) Jake Kitchell made jumper
13:11-10:07 (3:04) 3 missed shots, 1 turnover - Justin Gant made free throw
10:07-09:48 (0:19) 1 missed free throw - Jake Odum made layup
09:48-08:40 (1:08) 1 missed shot, 1 turnover - Devonte Brown made layup
08:40-07:56 (0:44) 1 missed free throw - Manny Arop made layup
07:56-07:27 (0:29) Khristian Smith dunk
07:27-05:29 (1:58) 1 turnover - Jake Kitchell made layup
05:29-02:50 (2:39) 1 missed shot, 1 turnover - Jake Odum made jumper
02:50-01:16 (1:34) 2 missed shots, 1 turnover - RJ Mahurin made layup
01:16-00:00 (1:16) 1 missed free throw, 1 missed shot, 1 turnover

SECOND HALF

20:00-18:55 (1:05) 1 missed shot - Justin Gant made three poing jumper
18:55-17:41 (1:14) 1 missed shot - Jake Odum 2 made free throws
17:41-16:01 (1:40) 1 turnover - RJ Mahurin made three point jumper
16:01-15:12 (0:49) Manny Arop 2 made free throws
15:12-13:24 (1:48) 1 missed shot - Manny Arop made layup
13:24-12:38 (0:46) Jake Odum made jumper
12:38-11:29 (1:09) 1 turnover - Lucas Eitel made jumper
11:29-10:56 (0:33) Jake Kitchell made layup
10:56-09:23 (1:33) 1 missed free throw, 3 missed shots - Manny Arop made 3 point jumper
09:23-08:48 (0:35) 1 missed free throw - Manny Arop made jumper
08:48-07:12 (1:36) 2 missed shots - Manny Arop 2 made free throws
07:12-06:25 (0:47) RJ Mahurin made layup
06:25-05:47 (0:38) Dawon Cummings made 3 point jumper
05:47-04:11 (1:36) 1 missed shot - Jake Odum made jumper, free throw
04:11-03:18 (0:53) 1 turnover - Lucas Eitel made 3 point jumper
03:18-02:19 (0:59) Manny Arop made jumper
02:19-02:03 (0:16) Jake Odum 2 made free throws
02:03-01:23 (0:40) 1 missed free throw - Jake Odum made free throw
01:23-00:50 (0:33) Dawon Cummings 2 made free throws
00:50-00:29 (0:21) 1 missed free throw - Jake Odum made free throw
00:29-00:16 (0:13) 1 missed free throw - Jake Odum made free throw
00:16-00:07 (0:09) 1 missed free throw - Lucas Eitel made free throw
00:07-00:00 (0:07)

vs. ILLINOIS STATE

FIRST HALF

20:00-17:47 (2:13) 2 missed shots, 1 turnover - Justin Gant made jumper
17:47-15:42 (2:05) 4 missed shots, 1 turnover - Devonte Brown made jumper
15:42-14:32 (1:10) 1 missed free throw - Khristian Smith made jumper
14:32-14:04 (0:28) Justin Gant made jumper
14:04-12:59 (1:05) 1 turnover - Dawon Cummings made layup
12:59-12:10 (0:49) 1 missed shot - Lucas Eitel made three point jumper
12:10-09:01 (3:09) 3 missed shots, 3 missed free throws, 1 turnover - Manny Arop made jumper
09:01-08:27 (0:34) Manny Arop made jumper
08:27-07:48 (0:39) Manny Arop made layup
07:48-03:53 (3:55) 4 missed shots, 3 turnovers - Dawon Cummings made three point jumper
03:53-03:05 (0:48) 1 missed shot - RJ Mahurin made layup
03:05-00:54 (2:11) 2 missed shots, 1 turnover - Manny Arop made tip in
00:54-00:00 (0:54) 2 missed free throws

SECOND HALF

20:00-19:03 (0:57) 1 missed shot, 1 turnover - RJ Mahurin made tip in
19:03-18:01 (1:02) 1 missed shot - Justin Gant made jumper
18:01-15:17 (2:44) 2 missed shots, 1 turnover - Dawon Cummings made three point jumper
15:17-13:05 (2:12) 3 missed shots - Jake Kitchell made jumper
13:05-12:05 (1:00) 1 missed shot - Manny Arop made jumper
12:05-11:38 (0:27) RJ Mahurin 2 made free throws
11:38-10:29 (1:09) 1 missed shot, 1 turnover - Manny Arop made jumper
10:29-08:27 (2:02) 4 missed shots - RJ Mahurin made layup
08:27-07:32 (0:55) 2 missed shots, 1 turnover - Devonte Brown 2 made free throws
07:32-05:48 (1:44) 1 turnover - Jake Odum made three point jumper
05:48-04:45 (1:03) 1 missed shot - Manny Arop made three point jumper
04:45-03:53 (0:52) Jake Odum made jumper
03:53-00:19 (3:34) 3 missed shots, 1 missed free throw, 2 turnovers - RJ Mahurin made free throw
00:19-00:10 (0:09) Jake Odum made layup
00:10-00:06 (0:04) Jake Odum 2 made free throws
00:06-00:00 (0:06) 1 missed shot

vs NORTHERN IOWA

FIRST HALF

20:00-16:23 (3:37) 4 missed shots, 3 turnovers - RJ Mahurin made jumper
16:23-15:33 (0:50) Devonte Brown made jumper
15:33-13:13 (2:20) 4 missed shots - Khristian Smith made jumper
13:13-12:20 (0:53) Dawon Cummings made 3 point jumper
12:20-11:25 (0:55) Justin Gant dunk
11:25-10:17 (1:08) 1 missed shot - RJ Mahurin made 3 point jumper
10:17-06:43 (3:34) 3 missed shots, 1 turnover - Devonte Brown made jumper
06:43-03:13 (3:30) 4 missed shots, 1 turnover - Jake Odum made jumper, free throw
03:13-01:13 (2:00) 1 missed shot - Jake Odum made jumper
01:13-00:00 (1:13) 1 missed shot

SECOND HALF

20:00-18:42 (1:18) 1 missed shot - Justin Gant made jumper
18:42-17:47 (0:55) Manny Arop made 3 point jumper
17:47-14:53 (2:54) 1 missed shot, 1 turnover - Jake Kitchell made layup
14:53-12:51 (2:02) 2 turnovers - Jake Kitchell made jumper
12:51-10:35 (2:16) 1 missed shot, 1 turnover - Jake Odum made jumper, free throw
10:35-09:35 (1:00) 1 missed shot - RJ Mahurin made layup
09:35-08:52 (0:43) RJ Mahurin made 3 point jumper
08:52-07:53 (0:59) RJ Mahurin 2 made free throws
07:53-06:41 (1:12) Manny Arop made jumper
06:41-05:48 (0:53) 1 turnover - Manny Arop made 3 point jumper
05:48-05:15 (0:33) Jake Odum made layup
05:15-04:35 (0:40) 1 missed shot - Manny Arop made jumper
04:35-02:57 (1:38) 1 missed shot - Jake Odum 2 made free throws
02:57-00:57 (2:00) 1 missed shot, 1 turnover - RJ Mahurin 2 made free throws
00:57-00:01 (0:56) 1 turnover, 1 missed free throw - Jake Odum 2 made free throws
00:01-00:00 (0:01)
 
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On the season we've have 78 stretches where it has taken longer than 1:07 to score, 17 where it has taken longer than 2:14 to score and 12 stretches where it has taken longer than 3 minutes to score. Our single longest stretch was a 4:51 drought against Southern Illinois.

Considering our two biggest margins of victory were against Bradley and Evansville, I don't think it is surprising to see the respective game charts. Keep an eye on the 2nd halfs of both games, where we outscored Bradley 40-28 and Evansville 46-30. As for our losses, it can be put quite simply as we've got to eliminate the reds and blues -- we can live with the oranges.

Bottom line is our offensive has to get more consistent. There are way too many long scoring droughts and those are derailing wins. I'm not sure what Lansing can do to facilitate that, but in looking above, something has to be done. Right now we're a little too consistent at being inconsistent. Thoughts?
 
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Jason Svoboda said:
There are 347 Division I teams. The media scoring average is 67.8 ppg and coincidentally enough, that is where we sit -- tied for 173rd in the country. In Valley play, we're averaging 68.1 ppg, 4th behind Creighton, Wichita State and Evansville. To get into the 75th percentile, your team would need to average 72 points per game. If you want to be in the Top 50 in the country in scoring, you would need to average 74 points per game.

Keeping this simple, you would need to score 36 buckets a game to make that happen -- the 72 point per game mark. To hit that mark, you would need to score a bucket every 66.7 seconds. I've charted our first 8 Missouri Valley Conference games to show time between scores so we can see what happened between scores, how long droughts lasted, etc. Keep in mind, these times show the difference in time between ANY score, whether it is a 3 point field goal or a single free throw because the opportunity was still present for 2 points.

Just for the sake of making this wealth of info quickly scannable, anything that is bolded in ORANGE are droughts that took longer than 1:07 to score our next point. Anything that is bolded in RED are droughts that took longer than 2x (2:14) to score. Finally, anything 3 minutes or longer is bolded in BLUE to signify an extended cold streaks.

vs ILLINOIS STATE

FIRST HALF

20:00-19:26 (0:34) Justin Gant made 3 point jumper
19:26-17:04 (2:22) 3 missed shots, 2 turnovers - Dawon Cummings made jumper, free throw
17:04-16:19 (0:45) 1 missted shot - Justin Gant made layup
16:19-14:26 (1:53) 3 missed shots, 1 missed free throw - Devonte Brown made free throw
14:26-13:40 (0:46) Devonte Brown 2 made free throws
13:40-12:35 (1:05) 1 turnover - Manny Arop made layup, free throw
12:35-12:10 (0:25) Manny Arop made jumper
12:10-11:48 (0:22) Justin Gant made layup
11:48-10:42 (1:06) 1 turnover - Justin Gant made layup
10:42-10:21 (0:21) Justin Gant made layup
10:21-08:56 (1:25) 3 missed shots - Jake Odum layup
08:56-06:10 (2:46) 2 missed shots, 2 turnovers - Lucas Eitel made 3 point jumper
06:10-03:36 (2:34) 4 missed shots - Justin Gant made tip shot
03:36-03:18 (0:18) RJ Mahruin 2 made free throws
03:18-02:34 (0:44) Jake Odum made 3 point jumper
02:34-00:30 (2:04) 3 missed shots, 1 missed free throw - Jake Odum 2 made free throws
00:30-00:00 (0:30)

SECOND HALF

20:00-18:36 (1:24) 1 missed shot, 1 turnover - Jake Odum made layup
18:36-17:21 (1:15) 1 turnover - RJ Mahurin 2 made free throws
17:21-16:42 (0:40) 1 missed shot - Justin Gant made layup
16:42-15:56 (0:48) 1 turnover - Jake Kitchell made layup
15:56-15:29 (0:27) Devonte Brown made layup
15:29-14:59 (0:30) 1 missed free throw - Devonte Brown made free throw
14:59-13:39 (1:20) 1 missed shot - Devonte Brown made layup
13:39-12:33 (1:06) 1 missed shot - Justin Gant made layup
12:33-11:57 (0:36) RJ Mahurin made layup
11:57-10:40 (1:17) 1 missed shot, 1 missed free throw - Devonte Brown made free throw
10:40-09:54 (0:46) 1 missed free throw, 1 turnover - Manny Arop made layup
09:54-08:49 (1:05) 3 missed shots - Jake Kitchell made layup
08:49-08:18 (0:31) 1 turnover - Jake Odum 2 made free throws
08:18-07:28 (0:50) 3 missed shots - Manny Arop made jumper
07:28-06:41 (0:47) Khristian Smith made jumper
06:41-05:20 (1:21) 2 missed shots - RJ Mahurin made layup
05:20-05:11 (0:09) Jake Odum 2 made free throws
05:11-04:15 (0:56) 1 turnover - Jake Odum made 3 point jumper
04:15-03:41 (0:34) Devonte Brown made layup
03:41-01:58 (1:43) 1 missed shot, 1 missed free throw - Devonte Brown made free throw
01:58-01:43 (0:15) 2 missed free throws - Jake Odum made free throw
01:43-00:30 (1:13) 1 missed shot, 1 missed free throw - Manny Arop made free throw
00:30-00:07 (0:23) Justin Gant made free throw
00:07-00:00 (0:07) 1 missed free throw

vs NORTHERN IOWA

FIRST HALF

20:00-18:49 (1:11) 1 missed shot - RJ Mahurin made jumper, free throw
18:49-16:25 (2:24) 3 missed shots - Justin Gant made 3 point jumper
16:25-15:47 (0:38) Justin Gant made layup
15:47-14:56 (0:51) 1 missed free throw, 2 turnovers - Devonte Brown made free throw
14:56-14:25 (0:31) Jake Odum made jumper, free throw
14:25-13:49 (0:36) Jake Kitchell made layup
13:49-12:21 (1:28) 2 turnovers - Lucas Eitel made 3 point jumper
12:21-09:49 (2:32) 1 missed shot, 2 turnovers - Many Arop made jumper
09:49-09:07 (0:42) Manny Arop made jumper
09:07-07:09 (1:58) 2 missed shots, 2 turnovers - Manny Arop made jumper
07:09-05:21 (1:48) 2 missed shots - Jake Odum made layup
05:21-04:21 (1:00) 1 missed shot - Justin Gant made layup, free throw
04:23-03:43 (0:40) Dawon Cummings made layup
03:43-02:42 (1:01) 1 missed shot - Jake Kitchell 2 made free throws
02:42-00:57 (1:45) 2 missed shots - Jake Kitchell made layup, free throw
00:57-00:48 (0:09) Khristian Smith 2 made free throws
00:48-00:00 (0:48)

SECOND HALF

20:00-19:41 (0:19) Justin Gant made jumper
19:41-18:25 (1:16) 1 turnover - Justin Gant made jumper
18:25-17:27 (0:58) 1 missed free throw - Jake Odum made free throw
17:27-16:51 (0:36) 1 missed shot - Justin Gant made layup
16:51-13:32 (3:19) 2 missed shots, 2 turnovers - Justin Gant made layup
13:32-12:59 (0:33) 1 missed shot, 1 missed free throw - Jake Kitchell made free throw
12:59-11:28 (1:31) 1 missed shot, 1 missed free throw - Dawon Cummings made free throw
11:28-09:28 (2:00) 1 missed shot - Jake Odum made 3 point jumper
09:28-06:43 (2:45) 3 missed shots, 1 turnover - Justin Gant made jumper
06:43-05:36 (1:07) RJ Mahurin made free throw
05:36-05:12 (0:24) 1 missed shot, 1 missed free throw - Manny Arop made free throw
05:12-02:23 (2:49) 2 missed shots, 1 missed free throw, 2 turnovers - Jake Odum 2 made free throws
02:23-01:32 (0:51) Jake Odum 2 made free throws
01:32-00:45 (0:47) Manny Arop made jumper
00:45-00:34 (0:11) Jake Odum made free throw
00:34-00:22 (0:12) 1 missed free throw - Jake Odum made free throw
00:22-00:11 (0:10) 2 missed free throws - Jake Odum made free throw
00:11-00:03 (0:08) 1 missed free throw - Lucas Eitel made free throw
00:03-00:00 (0:03)

vs CREIGHTON

FIRST HALF

20:00-16:39 (3:21) 1 missed shot, 3 turnovers - Justin Gant made 3 point jumper
16:39-16:01 (0:38) Dawon Cummings made layup
16:01-14:14 (1:47) 2 missed shots - Jake Odum 2 made free throws
14:14-12:48 (1:26) 2 missed shots - RJ Mahurin made tip shot
12:48-11:46 (1:02) 2 missed shots - Devonte Brown made 3 point jumper
11:46-11:12 (0:34) Devonte Brown made layup
11:12-09:41 (1:31) 2 missed shots - Jake Kitchell 2 made free throws
09:41-07:39 (2:02) 1 missed shot, 1 turnover - Manny Arop made layup
07:39-06:06 (1:33) 1 missed shot, 1 turnover - Manny Arop made jumper
06:06-05:30 (0:36) Jake Odum made jumper
05:30-05:15 (0:15) 1 missed shot - Devonte Brown 2 made free throws
05:15-03:21 (1:54) 1 turnover - Dawon Cummings made three point jumper
03:21-00:00 (3:21) 7 missed shots, 1 turnover

SECOND HALF

20:00-19:38 (0:22) Justin Gant made jumper
19:38-18:56 (0:42) Manny Arop made 3 point jumper
18:56-18:21 (0:35) Jake Odum made 3 point jumper
18:21-17:48 (0:33) Manny Arop 2 made free throws
17:48-17:19 (0:29) Justin Gant made layup
17:19-16:42 (0:37) RJ Mahurin made free throw
16:42-14:51 (1:51) 1 missed shot, 1 missed free throw, 1 turnover - Devonte Brown made layup
14:51-14:10 (0:41) RJ Mahurin made layup
14:10-12:59 (1:11) 2 missed free throws - Khristian Smith made layup
12:59-12:18 (0:41) Manny Arop made 3 point jumper
12:18-10:54 (1:24) Jake Odum made jumper
10:54-08:32 (2:22) 2 missed shots, 1 turnover - Jake Odum made free throw
08:32-06:38 (1:54) 3 missed shots, 2 missed free throws - Jake Kitchell made free throw
06:38-04:43 (1:55) 2 missed free throws, 1 turnover - Justin Gant made jumper
04:43-03:54 (0:49) Justin Gant made 3 point jumper
03:54-03:24 (0:30) Jake Odum made layup, free throw
03:24-01:43 (1:41) 1 missed shot - Manny Arop made free throw
01:43-00:49 (0:54) 1 missed shot, 2 missed free throws - RJ Mahurin 2 made free throws
00:49-00:34 (0:15) 1 missed shot - Lucas Eitel made jumper
00:34-00:00 (0:34)

vs BRADLEY

FIRST HALF

20:00-19:40 (0:20) 1 missed shot - Manny Arop made layup
19:40-18:46 (0:54) Jake Odum made layup
18:46-17:02 (1:44) 2 missed shots, 1 turnover - Justin Gant made 3 point jumper
17:02-16:14 (0:48) Jake Gant made jumper
16:14-14:22 (1:52) 2 missed shots - Khristian Smith 2 made free throws
14:22-12:48 (1:34) 1 missed shot, 1 turnover - Khristian Smith made jumper
12:48-11:44 (1:04) Khristian Smith made jumper
11:44-10:36 (1:08) 1 missed shot - RJ Mahurin made layup
10:36-09:24 (1:12) 1 missed shot - Manny Arop made layup
09:24-08:59 (0:25) Dawon Cummings made free throw
08:59-06:05 (2:54) 3 missed shots, 1 missed free throw - RJ Mahurin made layup
06:05-04:34 (1:31) 2 turnovers - Justin Gant 2 made free throws
04:34-03:45 (0:59) Khristian Smith made jumper
03:45-01:04 (2:41) 1 missed shot, 2 turnovers - Jake Odum made jumper
01:04-00:00 (1:04) 1 turnover

SECOND HALF

20:00-19:30 (0:30) Manny Arop made jumper
19:30-18:18 (0:42) 1 missed shot - RJ Mahurin made jumper
18:18-17:32 (0:46) Manny Arop made free throw
17:32-16:29 (1:03) 1 missed free throw, 1 turnover - Justin Gant made layup
16:29-15:43 (0:46) 1 turnover - Jake Odum made layup
15:43-15:08 (0:35) Devonte Brown 2 made free throws
15:08-14:34 (0:34) 1 missed shot - Jake Kitchell made tip shot
14:34-12:31 (2:03) 2 missed shots, 1 turnover - Jake Kitchell made layup
12:31-11:48 (0:43) Jake Kitckell made layup
11:48-09:40 (2:08) 2 missed shots, 1 turnover - Devonte Brown made free throw
09:40-09:05 (0:35) 1 missed free throw - RJ Mahurin 2 made free throws
09:05-07:31 (1:34) 1 missed shot, 1 turnover - Jake Kitchell made layup
07:31-06:32 (0:59) 1 turnover - Manny Arop made jumper
06:32-05:02 (1:30) 1 missed shot - Jake Odum made 3 point jumper
05:02-03:49 (1:13) 1 turnover - Justin Gant 2 made free throws
03:49-02:51 (0:58) Manny Arop 2 made free throws
02:51-02:14 (0:37) 1 missed shot - Justin Gant made layup
02:14-01:52 (0:22) 1 missed free throw - Dawon Cummings made free throw
01:52-01:26 (0:26) Jake Odum 2 made free throws
01:26-01:15 (0:11) Manny Arop 2 made free throws
01:15-00:29 (0:46) 1 missed shot - Brandon Burnett 2 made free throws
00:29-00:00 (0:29)

vs SOUTHERN ILLINOIS

FIRST HALF

20:00-18:57 (1:03) 1 missed shot - Justin Gant made jumper
18:57-14:06 (4:51) 5 missed shots, 6 turnovers - Manny Arop made dunk
14:06-13:05 (1:01) 1 turnover - Justin Gant made jumper
13:05-11:59 (1:06) 1 missed shot - Justin Gant 2 made free throws
11:59-10:42 (1:17) 1 turnover - Justin Gant made dunk
10:42-10:05 (0:37) Manny Arop made jumper
10:05-06:44 (3:21) 3 missed shots, 2 missed free throws, 1 turnover - Khristian Smith made jumper, free throw
06:44-06:08 (0:36) Jake Odum made jumper, free throw
06:08-05:37 (0:31) Jake Odum made jumper
05:37-04:10 (1:27) 3 missed shots - Khristian Smith made jumper, free throw
04:10-02:08 (2:02) 1 missed shot, 1 turnover - RJ Mahurin made layup
02:08-01:26 (0:42) 1 missed shot - Manny Arop made layup
01:26-00:00 (1:26) 1 missed shot, 1 turnover

SECOND HALF

20:00-17:24 (2:36) 2 missed shots, 2 turnovers - Justin Gant made free throw
17:24-16:55 (0:29) 1 missed free throw - Lucas Eitel made 3 point jumper
16:55-15:06 (1:49) 1 missed shot, 1 turnover - RJ Mahurin made layup
15:06-13:19 (1:47) 3 missed shots, 1 turnover - Jake Odum 2 made free throws
13:19-12:49 (0:30) RJ Mahurin made jumper
12:49-12:07 (0:42) Manny Arop made jumper
12:07-11:31 (0:36) Manny Arop made jumper
11:31-08:49 (2:42) 3 missed shots, 1 turnover - Manny Arop 2 made free throws
08:49-08:26 (0:23) Lucas Eitel made 3 point jumper
08:26-07:36 (0:50) Jake Odum made jumper
07:36-05:44 (1:52) 2 turnovers - Lucas Eitel made 3 point jumper
05:44-04:37 (1:07) 1 turnover - Jake Odum made layup
04:37-04:26 (0:11) Justin Gant made free throw
04:26-03:14 (1:12) 1 missed shot, 1 missed free throw - Devonte Brown made free throw
03:14-02:43 (0:31) 1 missed shot, 1 missed free throw - Jake Odum 2 made free throws
02:43-02:08 (0:35) RJ Mahurin made jumper
02:08-01:30 (0:38) 1 missed free throw - Manny Arop made free throw
01:30-00:59 (0:31) 1 missed shot, 2 missed free throws - Jake Odum 2 made free throws
00:59-00:23 (0:36) 2 missed shots - Lucas Eitel made 3 point jumper
00:23-00:04 (0:19) 1 missed shot - Manny Arop made 3 point jumper
00:04-00:00 (0:04)

vs MISSOURI STATE

FIRST HALF

20:00-16:29 (3:30) 2 missed shots, 2 turnovers - Devonte Brown made layup
16:29-15:36 (0:56) 1 missed shot - Justin Gant made jumper
15:36-14:01 (1:37) 2 missed shots - Khristian Smith made jumper
14:01-12:51 (1:10) Justin Gant made jumper
12:51-12:09 (0:42) Jake Kitchell made layup
12:09-11:23 (0:46) Khristian Smith made jumper
11:23-09:52 (1:31) 1 missed shot - Jake Odum made free throw
09:52-09:19 (0:33) 1 missed free throw - Manny Arop made free throw
09:19-08:37 (0:42) 1 missed free throw - RJ Mahurin 2 made free throws
08:37-05:02 (3:35) 3 missed shots, 1 turnover - Jake Kitchell made layup
05:02-03:30 (1:32) 2 turnovers - RJ Mahurin made layup
03:30-03:00 (0:30) 1 missed shot - Lucas Eitel made 3 point jumper
03:00-01:41 (1:19) 1 turnover - Khristian Smith made jumper
01:41-00:42 (0:59) Justin Gant made jumper
00:42-00:00 (0:42)

SECOND HALF

20:00-19:35 (0:25) Justin Gant made layup
19:35-18:52 (0:43) RJ Mahurin made 3 point jumper
18:52-18:02 (0:50) Jake Odum 2 made free throws
18:02-16:29 (1:33) 2 missed shots - Dawon Cummings made 3 point jumper
16:29-15:56 (0:33) Jake Odum made layup
15:56-15:20 (0:36) Manny Arop made jumper
15:20-14:08 (1:12) Manny Arop made 3 point jumper
14:08-12:50 (1:18) 1 turnover - Manny Arop made jumper
12:50-11:32 (1:18) 1 missed shot - Dawon Cummings made layup
11:32-10:19 (1:13) 2 missed free thows - Dawon Cummings made layup
10:19-06:36 (3:43) 1 turnover, 3 missed shots - Manny Arop made layup
06:36-05:59 (0:37) Devonte Brown made layup
05:59-05:02 (0:57) Justin Gant made layup
05:02-04:20 (0:42) Devonte Brown made jumper
04:20-03:38 (0:42) Devonte Brown 2 made free throws
03:38-01:56 (1:42) 2 missed shots - Devonte Brown 2 made free throws
01:56-01:39 (0:17) Dawon Cummings made free throw
01:39-01:24 (0:15) 2 missed free throws - Jake Odum made free throw
01:24-01:03 (0:21) 1 missed free throw - Jake Odum made free throw
01:03-00:51 (0:12) 1 missed free throw - Jake Odum made free throw
00:51-00:11 (0:40) 2 missed free throws, 1 turnover - Dawon Cummings 2 made free throws
00:11-00:00 (0:11)

vs. EVANSVILLE

FIRST HALF

20:00-19:02 (0:58) 1 missed shot - Devonte Brown 2 made free throws
19:02-16:37 (2:25) 2 missed shots, 1 turnover - Manny Arop made jumper
16:37-16:09 (0:28) Manny Arop made jumper
16:09-13:59 (2:10) 2 missed shots - Jake Kitchell made layup
13:59-13:11 (0:48) Jake Kitchell made jumper
13:11-10:07 (3:04) 3 missed shots, 1 turnover - Justin Gant made free throw
10:07-09:48 (0:19) 1 missed free throw - Jake Odum made layup
09:48-08:40 (1:08) 1 missed shot, 1 turnover - Devonte Brown made layup
08:40-07:56 (0:44) 1 missed free throw - Manny Arop made layup
07:56-07:27 (0:29) Khristian Smith dunk
07:27-05:29 (1:58) 1 turnover - Jake Kitchell made layup
05:29-02:50 (2:39) 1 missed shot, 1 turnover - Jake Odum made jumper
02:50-01:16 (1:34) 2 missed shots, 1 turnover - RJ Mahurin made layup
01:16-00:00 (1:16) 1 missed free throw, 1 missed shot, 1 turnover

SECOND HALF

20:00-18:55 (1:05) 1 missed shot - Justin Gant made three poing jumper
18:55-17:41 (1:14) 1 missed shot - Jake Odum 2 made free throws
17:41-16:01 (1:40) 1 turnover - RJ Mahurin made three point jumper
16:01-15:12 (0:49) Manny Arop 2 made free throws
15:12-13:24 (1:48) 1 missed shot - Manny Arop made layup
13:24-12:38 (0:46) Jake Odum made jumper
12:38-11:29 (1:09) 1 turnover - Lucas Eitel made jumper
11:29-10:56 (0:33) Jake Kitchell made layup
10:56-09:23 (1:33) 1 missed free throw, 3 missed shots - Manny Arop made 3 point jumper
09:23-08:48 (0:35) 1 missed free throw - Manny Arop made jumper
08:48-07:12 (1:36) 2 missed shots - Manny Arop 2 made free throws
07:12-06:25 (0:47) RJ Mahurin made layup
06:25-05:47 (0:38) Dawon Cummings made 3 point jumper
05:47-04:11 (1:36) 1 missed shot - Jake Odum made jumper, free throw
04:11-03:18 (0:53) 1 turnover - Lucas Eitel made 3 point jumper
03:18-02:19 (0:59) Manny Arop made jumper
02:19-02:03 (0:16) Jake Odum 2 made free throws
02:03-01:23 (0:40) 1 missed free throw - Jake Odum made free throw
01:23-00:50 (0:33) Dawon Cummings 2 made free throws
00:50-00:29 (0:21) 1 missed free throw - Jake Odum made free throw
00:29-00:16 (0:13) 1 missed free throw - Jake Odum made free throw
00:16-00:07 (0:09) 1 missed free throw - Lucas Eitel made free throw
00:07-00:00 (0:07)

vs. ILLINOIS STATE

FIRST HALF

20:00-17:47 (2:13) 2 missed shots, 1 turnover - Justin Gant made jumper
17:47-15:42 (2:05) 4 missed shots, 1 turnover - Devonte Brown made jumper
15:42-14:32 (1:10) 1 missed free throw - Khristian Smith made jumper
14:32-14:04 (0:28) Justin Gant made jumper
14:04-12:59 (1:05) 1 turnover - Dawon Cummings made layup
12:59-12:10 (0:49) 1 missed shot - Lucas Eitel made three point jumper
12:10-09:01 (3:09) 3 missed shots, 3 missed free throws, 1 turnover - Manny Arop made jumper
09:01-08:27 (0:34) Manny Arop made jumper
08:27-07:48 (0:39) Manny Arop made layup
07:48-03:53 (3:55) 4 missed shots, 3 turnovers - Dawon Cummings made three point jumper
03:53-03:05 (0:48) 1 missed shot - RJ Mahurin made layup
03:05-00:54 (2:11) 2 missed shots, 1 turnover - Manny Arop made tip in
00:54-00:00 (0:54) 2 missed free throws

SECOND HALF

20:00-19:03 (0:57) 1 missed shot, 1 turnover - RJ Mahurin made tip in
19:03-18:01 (1:02) 1 missed shot - Justin Gant made jumper
18:01-15:17 (2:44) 2 missed shots, 1 turnover - Dawon Cummings made three point jumper
15:17-13:05 (2:12) 3 missed shots - Jake Kitchell made jumper
13:05-12:05 (1:00) 1 missed shot - Manny Arop made jumper
12:05-11:38 (0:27) RJ Mahurin 2 made free throws
11:38-10:29 (1:09) 1 missed shot, 1 turnover - Manny Arop made jumper
10:29-08:27 (2:02) 4 missed shots - RJ Mahurin made layup
08:27-07:32 (0:55) 2 missed shots, 1 turnover - Devonte Brown 2 made free throws
07:32-05:48 (1:44) 1 turnover - Jake Odum made three point jumper
05:48-04:45 (1:03) 1 missed shot - Manny Arop made three point jumper
04:45-03:53 (0:52) Jake Odum made jumper
03:53-00:19 (3:34) 3 missed shots, 1 missed free throw, 2 turnovers - RJ Mahurin made free throw
00:19-00:10 (0:09) Jake Odum made layup
00:10-00:06 (0:04) Jake Odum 2 made free throws
00:06-00:00 (0:06) 1 missed shot
Click to expand...
Even I had to thank you for that stellar effort, Boda. That is thorough reporting on this subject. A job well done, sir.
 
THIS looks like a STATS thread! I LOVE sabermetrics...
Ok, Pythagorean theory is VERY good at predicting "lucky" vs "normal" win percentages in Baseball... they also have a basketball exponent factor..

Applying Basketball Pythagorean to our season thus far (thru 19 games on MVC Sports stats page):

1289 Points for.
1245 Points against..

1289^13.91
----------------
1289^13.91 + 1245^13.91


Using the theory yields a win % of .618482 * 19 = 12 wins... we are 12-7.
 
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So, what does that mean that we are playing "even" with "pythagorean"?
Normally, that means that the team is playing exactly to the talent level of the team... They are not "getting lucky" and catching fire in some games and stinking it up in other games. Right now, we are a "consistent" 61% win team. The problem is... 61% winning percentage is GOOD in baseball (98 win season!), but 18 wins won't get you an at-large bid in a mid-major conference.
 
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Ken Pomeroy bases some of his rankings on the Pythagorean theory...

He has adjusted his exponent to 10.25 starting in 2012.
He has ISU listed at number 81 in this ranking - and the 86th "luckiest" team... pretty consistent.

http://kenpom.com/index.php
 
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Eleven said:
Sorry... I really enjoy finding trends, predictors, etc... interesting stuff.
Click to expand...

Yep, same here.

If you look at the SIU and second ISU game, if they would even cut the blues to reds, they likely win both games. Wish I had the time to go even further to analyze what lineups were on the floor during those long scoreless stretches. I'd imagine we'd find consistencies among the lineups there, too.
 

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Eleven said:
So, what does that mean that we are playing "even" with "pythagorean"?
Normally, that means that the team is playing exactly to the talent level of the team... They are not "getting lucky" and catching fire in some games and stinking it up in other games. Right now, we are a "consistent" 61% win team. The problem is... 61% winning percentage is GOOD in baseball (98 win season!), but 18 wins won't get you an at-large bid in a mid-major conference.
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I have three questions re: your equation:

1) How do you obtain the #'s for ""talent level" of a team?;
2) How do you measure HEART in a player?
3) Can a TEAM reflect the "collective heart" of it's players? If so, how can this be measured?
 
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BankShot said:
I have three questions re: your equation:

1) How do you obtain the #'s for ""talent level" of a team?;
2) How do you measure HEART in a player?
3) Can a TEAM reflect the "collective heart" of it's players? If so, how can this be measured?
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Just because you don't believe in statistics, doesn't mean that they can't be used to accurately predict success...
 
Mostly it looks like if we hit a good percentage of our shots,we win,if not we lose.Thanks for the headache Jason!
 
long gone said:
Intangibles cannot be measured and can be the difference in winning a game or championship.
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That is true. That fact doesn't make statistics untrue does it?
Wouldn't those intangibles be included in the final scores - even if we can't "single them out"?
 

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For our offense, number one problem is shooting. We arent hitting shots. Our defense is good most of the time. I feel like Coach Lansing should do what other coaches have done in the league. For example when WSU lost to UE, they had 19 turnovers. Greg Marshall had his team work on passing. Coach Jacobson had his team work on fundamentals...the small basic things. I feel as if we only practice defense. Im sure we do other stuff but is it enough to keep guys focused. On a side note, I think RJ has worked on developing a post game so much that I feel like he lost his shooting touch a little. Would yall agree? I've never seen him miss this many 3s they way he has this year.
 
long gone said:
Not really as intangibles can be a once in a lifetime stat.
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How would those "once in a lifetime" intangibles not be reflected in the final outcome(s)?
And if they truly only happened in one game (once in a lifetime), they really shouldn't factor into any kind of measure, should they? That is defined as "luck" (exactly what Pythagorean is showing).
 
Eleven said:
Just because you don't believe in statistics, doesn't mean that they can't be used to accurately predict success...
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OK...I'll play the game. Using YOUR (Pythagorean Theory) #'s, which ISU winning & losing games THIS SEASON were predictable?
 
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