StatSheet Projects Indiana State as NIT Six Seed: 02/24/2013

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Jason Svoboda

The Bird Level
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.
StatSheet is projecting Indiana State to make the NIT as a six seed. The Sycamores are #59 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 17-11 overall record and a 9-7 record in the Missouri Valley.
During the last four games, Indiana State chalked up a win against Iona but also dropped one against RPI #29 Wichita State and bad losses to RPI #162 Bradley and RPI #205 Missouri State.
Indiana State is sub-par against strong competition, with a 6-5 record against the RPI Top 100 but a 3-5 record against the RPI Top 50 and a 1-1 record against AP ranked teams. While the Sycamores have three quality wins including RPI #46 Creighton, RPI #29 Wichita State, and AP #2 Miami (FL), they're hampered by six bad losses including RPI #162 Bradley, RPI #205 Missouri State, RPI #145 Drake, RPI #118 Illinois State, and RPI #184 Southern Illinois.
The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Saint Mary's (24-5, 12-2 West Coast, StatRank #41), Tennessee (16-10, 8-6 SEC, StatRank #60), St. John's (16-10, 8-6 Big East, StatRank #56), and Ole Miss (20-7, 9-5 SEC, StatRank #59).
The first four teams out are Alabama (18-9, 10-4 SEC, StatRank #62), Baylor (16-11, 7-7 Big 12, StatRank #70), Boise State (18-8, 6-6 Mountain West, StatRank #51), and Florida State (14-12, 6-7 ACC, StatRank #81).
The next four out are Arkansas (17-10, 8-6 SEC, StatRank #74), Maryland (19-8, 7-7 ACC, StatRank #68), Stanford (16-12, 7-8 Pac 12, StatRank #66), and Temple (18-8, 7-5 A-10, StatRank #49).[TABLE="class: tablepad"]
[TR]
[TD]Regional 1
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[TD]Regional 2
[/TD]
[TD]Regional 3
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[TD]Regional 4
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[h=2]NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference[/h]
ConfNCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East

[TD="align: center"]9
[TABLE="class: charttable"]
[TR]
[TD]
Big Ten
Big 12
SEC
Pac 12
Mountain West
A-10
ACC
C-USA
West Coast
Big West
Big South
Ivy League
Patriot
Ohio Valley
SoCon
WAC
MAC
Atlantic Sun
Sun Belt
Big Sky
MAAC
MEAC
CAA
NEC
Summit League
SWAC
Southland
America East
Horizon
Missouri Valley

[TD="align: center"]16[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]56.2%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]7[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]58.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]5[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]50.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]5[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]41.7%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]5[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]41.7%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]4[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]50.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]4[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]14[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]28.6%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]4[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]33.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]16.7%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]9[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]22.2%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]9[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11.1%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]11[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9.1%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12.5%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12.5%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]11[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9.1%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12.5%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]9[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11.1%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]13[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.7%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]9[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11.1%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.0%[/TD]
[/TD]
[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]


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Did you see the Creighton @ St. Mary's game Saturday night? Jayz look terrible...tired-looking movement on BOTH offense & defense...Gibbs looked like an ol' man on multiple occasions - McDermott looked TERRIBLE. No crispness or interior angle cutting whatsoever. Gotta wonder if this squad will make it past game #1 in Arch Madness the way they're playing NOW. Their "bubble" (forget about Dougie's ONCE UPON A TIME POY candidacy) may have already sprang a leak...
 
1 MVC team? No way

Probably is correct. This isn't your "Old" N.I.T. where teams and locations were set by how much money the N.I.T. could make. It has been operated by the NCAA for several years now and bids are very similar to the Big Dance selection. Biggest difference is automatics are given to conference regular season champs that do not win their conference tourneys and do not get an at-large to the Dance.

***And a lot of the bids go to the BCS "also rans"; thinking a team doesn't even have to have a .500 record to get in if their name is big enough on the national scene?
 
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