Tough call. MSU game is HUGE. 27-4 going into arch madness with a conference title, win over Michigan State, and just our offensive metrics and we are a lock. 26-5 with a conference title, offensive metrics, but no "signature win" and we are probably on the good side but sweating it out. Anything after that and I'm not liking our chances. So I guess once you get around that 4 loss range in conference it turns into "well who did you lose too?"Fair. You think we can afford more than 3 MoVal losses or you just think who we get beat by doesn’t matter?
I am of the opinion that ILState, Evansville and a few others have records that are inflated and they will eventually be at or near the bottom of the Valley.