Chances of the FCS Playoffs?

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Bingoman

The Sycamore Level
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In my opinion we have slim chances to make the FCS Playoffs. If we continue this roll and beat ISU and WIU then I think we have a solid chance at the playoffs. For now I do not think we will make it due to a tough last 2 games.
 

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If we win out Id say we have a reasonable argument. These next 2 games will be a sonofabitch to win though. Did 46 come back in after he got hurt? I saw a couple guys down that might cause ILSt to leave their punter at home
 
Playoffs started this week in my opinion. Each game is the next big game. With the youth on the roster these close games are invaluable for the players and coaches. Celebrate for 24 hours and onto the next one. Great game. I will be in the crowd for sure next saturday. Go Trees!!!!!!!
 
The guys have to win out. Period, end of discussion and even then it is going to take some stumping because some of the FCS upper guard let their lower ranked schools beat them this week and they have additional matchups over the next two weeks. You need anyone in the Top 10 or way out in front of their conferences to win out so they become locks for auto bids.

There were quite a few upsets in FCS this weekend that will lead to us likely getting into the receiving votes section, I'd think. With Western Illinois storming back, they'll likely be in the Top 25 if they beat USD next week and you have another team or two in front of them slip. We have Illinois State who will likely fall into the 20-22 range I'd think so that potentially gives you two Top 25 opponents to finish out the season.

1 North Dakota State (160) 8-0 4000 1
2 Kennesaw State 7-1 3777 2
3 James Madison 6-2 3665 3
4 Weber State 6-2 3416 4
5 Eastern Washington 6-2 3209 5
6 UC Davis 7-1 3158 6
7 South Dakota State 5-2 3084 7
8 Elon 5-2 2789 8
9 Wofford 6-2 2688 9
10 Jacksonville State 6-2 2337 12
11 McNeese 6-2 2209 14
12 Colgate 7-0 2046 16
13 Delaware 6-2 1790 21
14 Illinois State 5-3 1781 11
15 Towson 6-2 1774 10
16 Stony Brook 6-3 1479 15
17 North Carolina A&T 6-2 1414 18
18 Princeton 7-0 1345 19
19 Central Arkansas 5-3 1261 13
20 Nicholls 5-3 1003 20
21 Sam Houston State 5-3 661 23
22 East Tennessee State 7-2 567 25
23 Maine 5-3 548 24
24 Dartmouth 7-0 435 NR
25 Southeast Missouri State 6-2 316 NR

RV: North Dakota (314) , UNI (262) , Florida A&M (169) , Chattanooga (163) , Idaho State (160) , Rhode Island (87) , Western Illinois (32) , San Diego (20) , Monmouth (20) , Alcorn State (12) , Montana State (4) ,Samford (3) , Lamar (1) , UIW (1)

Don't want to be debbie downer, but I guess I will be. If #46 is done, we're done. That defense was a pretty porous the second half and once he went down, the floodgates were open. If several of the other defenders that went down are also out going forward, I just don't think you have the pieces behind them to beat two Top 25 caliber teams. I'd love to be wrong.

I hope the staff is working the phones right now and reaching out to their FBS contacts for potential impact transfers. Boyle has proven to be a dynamic QB and we have him for one more year. They need to get another back in here that is ready to go out of the gate and another dynamic WR to pair with Hendrix. If they can do that, the offense could be pretty dynamic next year especially with the other guys that have stepped up like Caton.

On D, they need several guys to come in out of the gate. They need to find at least one solid DT that can plug space, another backer to pair with Jonas and at least one more corner. If they could find another pass rusher, even if situational guy, that would be fantastic. These are all pieces that need to come in ready to play Day One.
 
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If we were doing this next year, I wouldn't be that impressed, it would be about what I expected, but the fact we've done this well in Mallory's second year has me quite impressed. I think we could very well lose out given all the injuries and I wouldn't be disappointed. I think we're already set up well for next year. I'll be excited going into the season for the first time in a long time. Thank you to the coaches and players for that!

As for the playoffs, I'll worry about it if we in fact win out.
 

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niklz62 said:
ORV in the Coaches Poll:

https://www.afca.com/polls/
Click to expand...

So we're #30 in the country according to that.

Makes sense with the results I outlined in post #6 above. We need to beat Illinois State while ranked, which then would likely have move up to #25 or so provided all of the Top 15 holds court against lower match ups.

Elon plays Towson -- Need Elon win.
Kennesaw State plays Monouth -- Need KSU win.
UNI plays Youngstown State -- Need UNI win.
SEMO plays Murray State -- A Murray State upset would be preferable.
Delaware plays Stony Brook -- Need Delaware to win.
James Madison plays Rhode Island -- Need JMU to rebound after their bad loss.
Maine plays Richmond -- Need a Richmond upset.

Then there are a couple other games with teams at 5-4 (Abilene Christian vs Sam Houston State and UIW vs Central Arkansas) where they teams just dropped out of the Top 25 and another loss eliminates them.

WIU plays USD -- Need WIU to beat USD to set up an end of the season showdown for who will likely get the last open invite from the MVFC. Provided you have the above happen and a couple other losses from teams in the bottom half of the T25 or RV section, you could have both WIU and us move into the Top 25 to end the year for that game.

Win out, have some lucky breaks ahead of you and you can sneak in during the rebuild. That would be mighty fucking impressive.
 
Jason Svoboda said:
So we're #30 in the country according to that.

Makes sense with the results I outlined in post #6 above. We need to beat Illinois State while ranked, which then would likely have move up to #25 or so provided all of the Top 15 holds court against lower match ups.

Elon plays Towson -- Need Elon win.
Kennesaw State plays Monouth -- Need KSU win.
UNI plays Youngstown State -- Need UNI win.
SEMO plays Murray State -- A Murray State upset would be preferable.
Delaware plays Stony Brook -- Need Delaware to win.
James Madison plays Rhode Island -- Need JMU to rebound after their bad loss.
Maine plays Richmond -- Need a Richmond upset.

Then there are a couple other games with teams at 5-4 (Abilene Christian vs Sam Houston State and UIW vs Central Arkansas) where they teams just dropped out of the Top 25 and another loss eliminates them.

WIU plays USD -- Need WIU to beat USD to set up an end of the season showdown for who will likely get the last open invite from the MVFC. Provided you have the above happen and a couple other losses from teams in the bottom half of the T25 or RV section, you could have both WIU and us move into the Top 25 to end the year for that game.

Win out, have some lucky breaks ahead of you and you can sneak in during the rebuild. That would be mighty fucking impressive.
Click to expand...

I agree with your assessment in this and the previous post. One question, do you think that UNI losing to Youngstown could help us by knocking them out of the picture? Im not sure how that affects the look of our loss, but our win vs YSU before 2 weeks of good play would help.
 
niklz62 said:
I agree with your assessment in this and the previous post. One question, do you think that UNI losing to Youngstown could help us by knocking them out of the picture? Im not sure how that affects the look of our loss, but our win vs YSU before 2 weeks of good play would help.
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I think based on their schedule, they'd end up getting one of the final berths so I'd prefer they pad their W/L record. If they could finish out 7-4, they're likely to be back in the 16-19 range I'd think based on those teams there that have games against higher ranked opponents.

We need as much inter conference separation as possible, especially from a team that beat us I would think. Especially having lost to them head-to-head 33-0. Having YSU doesn't move them into a "good win" category, either.
 
#30...Who would have thought that at the beginning of the year! Especially after going 0-11 last year.

WOW! So close to being 7-2 (5-1 MVC).
 
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I said and have been saying all year. We Will Win. I have not backed down from that. We are young and learning to win. Each game is big. Season is already a success. If we can get the next two or one of the next two we will be called a winner. With another offseason and growth by the players it could be a special year next year. But it is college football, so you never know. See you in the stands. Lets get 6,000 there this weekend. I know it will be cold but so the guys you got there back. Go Trees
 
They've already done enough this year to prove to me they will win. But win means win consistently (above .500). We need what we had with Miles (minus the late season let downs) for a good stretch. I think we can do that.
 
Jason Svoboda said:
Elon plays Towson -- Need Elon win.
Kennesaw State plays Monouth -- Need KSU win.
UNI plays Youngstown State -- Need UNI win.
SEMO plays Murray State -- A Murray State upset would be preferable.
Delaware plays Stony Brook -- Need Delaware to win.
James Madison plays Rhode Island -- Need JMU to rebound after their bad loss.
Maine plays Richmond -- Need a Richmond upset.

Then there are a couple other games with teams at 5-4 (Abilene Christian vs Sam Houston State and UIW vs Central Arkansas) where they teams just dropped out of the Top 25 and another loss eliminates them.

WIU plays USD -- Need WIU to beat USD to set up an end of the season showdown for who will likely get the last open invite from the MVFC. Provided you have the above happen and a couple other losses from teams in the bottom half of the T25 or RV section, you could have both WIU and us move into the Top 25 to end the year for that game.

Win out, have some lucky breaks ahead of you and you can sneak in during the rebuild. That would be mighty fucking impressive.
Click to expand...

Red/Green results up above so far.

USD is currently up 10-6 on WIU with 12 min left in the 4th.

James Madison is currently up 34-24 on Rhode Island in the 3rd.

Maine is currently up 21-3 on Richmond in the 2nd.
 
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