[November 21, 2022] Indiana State (3-0) vs East Carolina (3-0)

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East Carolina, the good:
  • They shoot a LOT of threes. They're 10th in the nation in 3PA/FGA, which even makes Schertz blush. For reference, we're 31st in this stat. 39.4% of ECU's points come from the three-point line.
  • They attack the offensive glass. They're 44th in Off. Reb %. We are middle of the pack in terms of limiting offensive rebounds to our opponents, so this is one to keep an eye on.
  • They do a great job getting to the free throw line. They're 60th in FTA/FGA, and they shoot them at a 72% clip. We play pretty aggressively on defense and can be prone to giving up points at the FT line. 22.5% of ECU's points come from the free throw line.
  • They share the ball very well, with a 56.6 A/FGM rate.

East Carolina, the bad:
  • They're pretty turnover prone - 19.7 TO% (206th overall). We're 65th in forcing turnovers at 26.4%, so I would look for us to remain aggressive defensively. The don't give up a lot of steals, which means their turnovers are generally unforced.
  • The get their shot blocked...ALL THE TIME (14.8 Block%; 323rd overall). We're not all that great at blocking shots, but this is still an opportunity for us.
  • Despite how many threes they shoot, they don't defend them well at all. They're giving up a 3PT% of 38.8% (298th) and we're shooting it at a 38.2% clip (64th).
  • They're very foul-prone, at a 37.0 FTA/FGA.

All of the above are unadjusted stats based on level of competition. When adjusted for strength of opponent, they are poor offensively (251st in Adj. Offensive Efficiency) and below-average on defense (191st in Adj. Defensive Efficiency). We're sitting at 123rd for offense and 129th for defense....pretty balanced.

Neutral site games are always a bit of a wildcard, but similar to my early thoughts on NDSU...I think this is a game we win by high single-digits. I'm going to go with 78-70 Sycamores.
 
child said:
Thanks for the above but who have they beaten?
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Mercer (#170 in KenPom), Presbyterian (#291), and Hampton (#339). So…they really haven’t beaten anybody.

To be fair though, if I’m an ECU fan I’d say the same about us.
 

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TERRE HAUTE, Ind. - In their first game outside the Hulman Center this season, the Sycamores will face East Carolina Monday afternoon in the first round of the Gulf Coast Showcase in Estero, Fla. Tip-off is set for 1:30 p.m. from Hertz Arena.

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The metrics seem to point towards an up-tempo game. It will be interesting to see how patience comes into play when the outside shots don't fall in an unfamiliar gym and the other team goes on a 6-8pt run. Here is to hoping that they packed the same TO effort from the last performance.
 

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treeman said:
Impressive for a gathering down in Florida.

Has ISU done similar things at past MTEs? Just curious, don't remember ever hearing about a dinner before the tourney starts.

Also, Is that Hodges in one of the pictures?
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Yes they've done this in the past. I've never been but know they've made an effort to do meals with alumni/fans + the team.
 
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