There are 19 mid&low-major schools (anyone not in the P6) that have 25+ wins against D1 competition this season. Fourteen of those nineteen are guaranteed a spot in the NCAA Tournament.
1) Seven of the Nineteen would not have made it unless they won their tournament (including Drake). To be fair there are a couple that only won 25 games because of their title win, so there's that.
2) Oral Roberts, FAU, and Charleston were all pretty bubbly, but all three of those schools won their league's AQ.
3) VCU could win the Atlantic 10 AQ today, but with a loss they are likely on the outside looking in.
4) Utah State is on the bubble, right now listed as a "Last 4 In".
5) Memphis has likely done enough to get in. They play Houston for the AAC championship today.
6) Gonzaga, St Mary's, Houston, and San Diego State were all in regardless of what happened in their tournaments. Gonzaga defeated SMC in the WCC Title Game, SDSU won the MWC AQ, and Houston could win the AAC AQ today. (Many would argue that Houston and Gonzaga are not really mid majors anymore).
7) Fordham and Toledo have zero chance of making the NCAA Tournament. They're the two that have been completely screwed over (so far). Kent State would be in Toledo's spot had they lost to Toledo last night. Utah State and VCU are on my watch list.